Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002386 0.002525 0.002673 0.002843 0.003036 0.003247 0.003500
2025-04-27 0.002179 0.002369 0.002582 0.002842 0.003157 0.003533 0.004025
2025-05-04 0.002075 0.002304 0.002572 0.002917 0.003361 0.003933 0.004761
2025-05-11 0.001962 0.002211 0.002512 0.002915 0.003460 0.004207 0.005393
2025-05-18 0.001910 0.002184 0.002526 0.003002 0.003679 0.004679 0.006452
2025-05-25 0.001826 0.002108 0.002468 0.002981 0.003741 0.004925 0.007227
2025-06-01 0.001741 0.002024 0.002390 0.002924 0.003738 0.005063 0.007852
2025-06-08 0.001709 0.002006 0.002399 0.002987 0.003923 0.005555 0.009468
2025-06-15 0.001673 0.001980 0.002393 0.003027 0.004076 0.006023 0.011394
2025-06-22 0.001615 0.001921 0.002336 0.002984 0.004080 0.006203 0.012672
2025-06-29 0.001559 0.001862 0.002276 0.002930 0.004059 0.006324 0.013897
2025-07-06 0.001512 0.001813 0.002227 0.002890 0.004057 0.006488 0.015512
2025-07-13 0.001430 0.001714 0.002105 0.002731 0.003831 0.006118 0.014566
2025-07-20 0.001397 0.001683 0.002081 0.002728 0.003898 0.006460 0.017621
2025-07-27 0.001386 0.001681 0.002100 0.002797 0.004110 0.007239 0.026135
2025-08-03 0.001357 0.001654 0.002078 0.002795 0.004182 0.007681 0.035811
2025-08-10 0.001351 0.001657 0.002103 0.002875 0.004437 0.008803 0.088573
2025-08-17 0.001321 0.001626 0.002073 0.002856 0.004474 0.009242 0.221896
2025-08-24 0.001286 0.001585 0.002026 0.002803 0.004430 0.009369 0.883337
2025-08-31 0.001277 0.001583 0.002040 0.002862 0.004651 0.010692 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001264 0.001575 0.002042 0.002898 0.004828 0.012032 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001236 0.001542 0.002005 0.002858 0.004806 0.012372 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001208 0.001508 0.001964 0.002809 0.004753 0.012523 NaN